Dr. Dan M. Ghiocel Adjunct Professor of Structural Engineering Contact Info:   Dan M. Ghiocel, Ph.D.  Chief Engineering Scientist   GHIOCEL PREDICTIVE TECHNOLOGIES, INC.  6 South Main St., 2nd Floor   Pittsford, New York 14534   Phone: 585-641-0379  Fax: 585-586-4672  Mobile: 585-766-5511  Email: Dan.Ghiocel@ghiocel-tech.com

Profile         Dr. Ghiocel is currently the President and Chief Engineering Scientist of Ghiocel Predictive Technologies Inc. with offices in Rochester NY and Cleveland OH. Ghiocel Predictive Technologies is a small business corporation specialized in non-deterministic modeling and predictions for complex engineering applications. Before founding Ghiocel Predictive Technologies, Dr.Ghiocel had been the Vice President of Advanced Engineering Applications at STI Technologies. Dr. Ghiocel has 20 years of extensive research lab, university research and consulting engineering experience in advanced computational structural/mechanical analysis for systems and components, computational stochastic mechanics, nonlinear random vibration and bifurcation analysis, stochastic finite element analysis, damage mechanics, probabilistic risk assessment and component life prediction. Dr. Ghiocel has used, developed and applied various probabilistic methods for a number of engineering applications, including dynamic, highly nonlinear, stochastic systems. As a basic technical background Dr. Ghiocel received a Ph.D. in Structural Engineering from Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, in 1993, with a dissertation on Nonlinear Stochastic Dynamics (Stability) and Structural Reliability with application to Highly Nonlinear Systems subjected to Multiple Random Excitations, and two M.Sc.'s, one in Structural Engineering, from Technical University of Bucharest, in 1980, and another one in Applied Mathematics, from University of Bucharest, in 1982, Romania. Before coming to the US, Dr. Ghiocel was Assistant Professor in University of Bucharest. Over years, he has taught graduate courses on Structural Analysis, Dynamics, Random Vibration, Structural Reliability and supervised graduate research work and direct final theses of 8 M.Sc. and 2 Ph.D. students on related topics. More

Areas of Specialization Structural/mechanical component/system analysis & design, including modern affordability concepts Computational stochastic mechanics, stochastic finite element techniques for nonlinear systems Probabilistic risk assessment for components/systems, risk-based design evaluation, risk management Stochastic modeling of loads, effects and material behavior, stochastic failure analysis for structures Stochastic dynamics, nonlinear random vibration, stochastic bifurcation and dynamic stability Risk-based health management of systems, including stochastic and AI neuro-fuzzy techniques for pattern classification and recognition, fault diagnostics-prognostics, with application to jet engines Probabilistic damage mechanics and fracture mechanics, including stochastic fatigue and creep life prediction of mechanical/structural components under random loading and temperature conditions Life-cycle risk-based cost analysis of mechanical systems, including maintenance activities

1991-1993       Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, USA – Civil Engineering Department                          Ph. D. in Structural Engineering                          Dissertation on Stochastic Dynamics and Structural Reliability of Nonlinear Systems                          Application: A Large Cable System Under Random Turbulent Pressure Fluctuations 1981-1982       University of Bucharest, Romania – Department of Mathematics and Statistics                          M. Sc. in Applied Mathematics (Equivalent)                          Thesis on Computer Simulation of Random Processes using Monte-Carlo Techniques                          Application: Simulation of Seismic Random Waves at Ground Surface 1975-1980       Technical University - Civil Engineering Institute, Bucharest, Romania                          M. Sc. in Structural/Civil Engineering (Equivalent)                          Thesis on Seismic and Wind Stochastic Structural Analyses of A Tall Tower                          Application: Structural Analysis and Design of A 1200 ft CN Tower

2003 - National Technical Leadership Award,appointed as Honorary Chairman of the Business Advisory Council, National Republican Congressional Committee, Washington, D.C. 2000 - National Aviation and Space Exploration Wall of Honor, National Air Museum, Smithsonian, Washington D.C. 1998 - Distinguished Probabilistic Methods Service Award of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE), Reliability Maintainability Supportability and Logistics (RMSL) Division, for "Demonstrated Excellence in Dedication to the Growth and Succes of the SAE Probabilistic Methods Committee Through Production of Technical Documents and Ceasless Assistance to Probabilistic Methods Community" 1999 - Best Paper of the 1999 Year Award of International Journal of Condition Monitoring and Diagnostic Engineering Management, for "A Probabilistic Approach to the Diagnosis of Gas Turbine Engine Faults", co-authored with Dr. M. Roemer. 1998 - SAE International Recognition Award, Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE), for leading the Probabilistic Methods session at the National SAE Reliability, Maintainability, Supportability and Logistic Workshop, Dallas. 1997 - SAE International Recognition Award, Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE), for leading the Probabilistic Methods session at the National SAE Reliability, Maintainability, Supportability and Logistic Workshop, Dallas. 1997 - Strathmore Who ’s Who, Registry of Business Leaders, for Leadership and Achievement in Nuclear and Aerospace Industries. 1996 - SAE International Recognition Award, Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE), for leading the Probabilistic Methods session at the National SAE Reliability, Maintainability, Supportability and Logistic Workshop, Dallas. 1993 - Craig Miller Memorial Award,Case Institute of Technology, Case Western Reserve University (CWRU), Cleveland, Ohio, for outstanding academic achievements. 1980 - Recognition Award for the Student of the Year in Civil Engineering, Romania.

Professional Committees and Societies 2002-Present     North American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Fellow 1998-Present     Non-deterministic Approaches Working Technical Group, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA), Vice-Chair 1998-Present     International Gas Turbine Institute, Structural Dynamics and Probabilistics Committtee, American Institute of Mechanical Engineers (ASME),Member 1995-Present     Probabilistic Methods Committee of the Engineering Mechanics Division, American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE),Member 1993-Present     Probabilistic Methods Committee of the Reliability Maintainability and Supportability (RMS) Division of Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE International),Vice-Chair

Reviewer for Refereed Engineering Journals 2003-Present     American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Journal of Nuclear Engineering and Design. 1997-Present     American Society of Aeronautics and Astronautics, AIAA Journal. 1997-Present     American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Journal of International Gas Turbine Institute. 1995-Present     American Society of Civil Engineers, Journal of Engineering Mechanics Division and Journal of Aerospace Engineering.

Editor of International Journals and Books 10/2001     International Journal for Advanced Manufacturing Systems (IJAMS), co-editor with Prof. Nikolaidis, Virginia Tech, for special issues on "Design and Manufacturing Under Uncertainties" 12/2003     Chapmann & Hall CRC Press, co-editor/co-author (together with Prof. Nikolaidis) of the “Engineering Design Reliability Handbook” (to be published in summer of 2004). Author of three chapters: "Stochastic Simulation Methods for Engineering Predictions" by D.M. Ghiocel "Non-Deterministic Hybrid Architectures For Vehicle Health Management" by J. Altmann and D.M. Ghiocel "Reliability Assessment of Aircraft Structure Joints Under Corrosion-Fatigue Damage" by D.M. Ghiocel and E. Tuegel

Journals and Conferenec Proceedings: Ghiocel, D.M., Stochastic Solution Approximation for High-Complexity Problems, The 2nd MIT Conference on Fluid and Solid Mechanics, Boston, MA, June 11-14, 2003 Ghiocel, D.M., Risk-Based Condition Assessment and Maintenance Engineering, The 2nd MIT Conference on Fluid and Solid Mechanics, Boston, MA, June 11-14, 2003 Ghiocel, D.M. Combining Stochastic Networks, Bayesian Inference and Dynamic Monte Carlo for Estimating Variation Bounds of HCF Risk Prediction”, the 7th National Turbine Engine High Cycle Fatigue Conference, Monterey, CA, April 16-19, 2003 Ghiocel, D.M. ,” Innovative Probabilistic Concepts and Tools for Risk-based Prognostics EHM Systems”, the 7th National Turbine Engine High Cycle Fatigue Conference, Monterey, CA, April 16-19, 2003 Ghiocel, D.M., Critical Probabilistic Modeling and Implementation Issues for Geometry Mistuning in Engine Blisks, 6th Annual FAA/AF/NASA/Navy Workshop on the Application of Probabilistic Methods to Gas Turbine Engines, Solomon Island, MD, March 18-20, 2003 Ghiocel, D.M., Probabilistic Prediction Tools for Maintenance Engineering, 2003 SAE World Congress, Paper 2002-01-1216, Cobo Center, Detroit, March 3-6, 2003 Ghiocel, D.M. and Griffin, J.,”Stochastic Mistuning via Subset of Nominal Modes (SNM) Approach”, the 6th National Turbine Engine High Cycle Fatigue Conference, Palm Garden Beach, Florida, May 14-17, 2002 Ghiocel, D.M. ,”Advanced Reliability Concepts for Risk-Based Prognostics Engine Health managements Systems”, the 6th National Turbine Engine High Cycle Fatigue Conference, Palm Garden Beach, Florida, May 14-17, 2002 Ghiocel, D.M.,” Probabilistic Modeling for HCF Prediction: Advances in Concepts, Tools and Implementation Strategies”, the 6th National Turbine Engine High Cycle Fatigue Conference, Palm Garden Beach, Florida, May 14-17, 2002 Ghiocel, D.M. Probabilistic Modeling Techniques for Optimal-Cost Risk-Based Condition-Based Maintenance Strategy", the 56th Machine Failure Prevention Technology Meeting, Virginia Beach, VA, April 15-17, 2002 More

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