Dr. Ghiocel has accumulated a large experience on practical engineering implementation and use of probabilistic approaches by performing probabilistic risk assessment reviews for large, complex systems such as nuclear facilities and jet engine systems. He was been involved as an outside expert for several independent reviews for the DOD Defense Nuclear Facility Safety Board. In the last few years, he has been Principal Investigator of several large multiyear research projects for the USAF/AFRL and US Navy/NAVAIR on stochastic modeling for aircraft engines and components, including advanced finite element analysis, component life prediction, high cycle fatigue modeling for fans, turbine risk-based cost-maintenance analysis, corrosion-fatigue for fuselage lap and but joints and engine fault diagnostics and health management. On these research projects he is also collaborating closely with GEAE, United Technologies - Pratt & Whitney, Allison/Rolls-Royce, AFRL/PRTC and VASM, NASA Glenn and Marshall RC, Boeing – Phantom Works and Lockheed Martin Co. In these projects he is applying state-of-the-art non-deterministic techniques including stochastic field models and hybrid stochastic-neuro-fuzzy approaches for mechanical failure prognostics and jet engine health management.

        Over the last decade, Dr. Ghiocel has developed several collaborative research projects with different universities, such as Carnegie Mellon, Cornell University, Case Western Reserve University, Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt University, University of Colorado at Boulder, John Hopkins University, Princeton University and Toledo University.

        Dr. Ghiocel has published more than 70 papers in various journals and conferences on structural dynamics, random vibration, probabilistic modeling and structural reliability issues. He is an active member of several prestigious national technical committees, as AIAA-NDA, SAE-RMSL, ASCE-EMD and ASME-IGTI. Currently, he is the Vice-Chair of Probabilistic Methods Committee of the RMSL Division of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE). He is also the Vice-Chair of the AIAA Working Task Group on Non-Deterministic Analyses.

        In 1999 Dr. Ghiocel received the prestigious SAE "Distinguished Probabilistic Methods Service Award" for "Demonstrated Excellence in Dedication to the Growth and Success of the SAE Probabilistic Methods Committee Through Production of Technical Documents and Ceasless Assistance to Probabilistic Methods Community". Since 2001 Dr. Ghiocel has been appointed as Adjunct Professor with Case Western Reserve University. Since 2002, he has become a Fellow of the North American Academy of Sciences and Arts.


Experience

2003-present    President and CEO, Ghiocel Predictive Technologies, Rochester NY

                         He is the founder and the majority owner of Ghiocel Predictive Technologies. He leads the Strategic Alliance between GPT Inc. and STI Technologies on probabilistic engineering applications. Technical coordination of research projects on probabilistic modeling for advanced engineering applications for power, nuclear and aerospace industries. Currently, he is the PI of several DOD research projects for the USAF and Army on air and ground vehicle.

2000-2003       Vice President of Advanced Engineering, STI Technologies, Rochester NY

                         Leading projects on probabilistic modeling for advanced engineering applications. The total research effort of these projects on probabilistic engineering problems was between $0.8M and $1.0M for the FY 2000, 2001 and 2003. In the last two years, Principal Investigator of five large multiyear research projects for the USAF/AFRL and US Navy/NAVAIR on stochastic modeling for aircraft engines and components, including advanced finite element analysis, component life prediction, high cycle fatigue modeling for fans, turbine risk-based cost-maintenance analysis, corrosion-fatigue for fuselage lap and but joints and engine fault diagnostics and health management. On these research projects he is also collaborating closely with GEAE, United Technologies - Pratt & Whitney, Allison/Rolls-Royce, AFRL/PRTC and VASM, NASA Glenn and Marshall RC, Boeing –Phantom Works and Lockheed Martin Co. In these projects he is applying state-of-the-art non-deterministic techniques and is developing innovative stochastic field and hybrid stochastic-neuro-fuzzy approaches for jet engine performance-based and vibration-based diagnostics and prognostics.

1997-2000       Principal Engineer, STI Technologies, Rochester, NY

                        Consulting services and applied research on probabilistic modeling and risk assessment for complex systems, structures and mechanical components under random operational environments. Focus on power, nuclear and aircraft systems. Developed many innovative stochastic modeling techniques. Extensive work for algorithm development on stochastic load modeling, probabilistic fracture and fatigue algorithms, fragility analysis, non-linear random vibration analysis and stochastic stability, including mistuning and flutter for engine blades. Leading as a principal technical investigator research projects for the DOD agencies, especially USAF, on probabilistic life prediction and risk-based condition assessment including the HCF/LCF/creep interactive life for aircraft structure and engine components. Principal co-investigator or co-investigator of projects for implementation on a real-time probabilistic failure risk evaluation system for component risk-based condition assessment using health- monitoring data and numerical gas-path-analysis models for turbine engines, including probabilistic models for pattern recognition and fault diagnosis for engine performance and vibration.

1993-1997       Senior Engineering Specialist, Stevenson & Associates, Cleveland, OH

                        Consulting services for structural analysis and design of reinforced concrete, steel and masonry structures, fragility (risk) analyses and risk assessment for nuclear power plant (NPP) structures, stochastic modeling of loads and material behavior, nonlinear finite element analyses, design optimization, dynamic soil-structure interaction. Since 1995, involved in reviews for Defense Nuclear Facility Safety Board (DNFSB) for risk assessment and seismic soil-structure interaction analyses for nuclear defense facilities.
                        Principal Investigator of a NSF SBIR research project on probabilistic seismic soil-structure interaction and blast effects on underground hazardous facilities. Project manager/engineer for several consulting projects on structural analysis, design and probabilistic risk assessment for NPP structures, piping systems and equipment. Probabilistic risk assessment performed for Fort Calhoun NPP Reactor Building. Seismic reevaluation and probabilistic risk assessment for the major site buildings, i.e., reactor biuldmg, auxiliary building, intake structure and diesel generator building, of the Calvert Cliffs NPP. Probabilistic risk assessment studies for different structures of the V. C. Summer NPP, Beaver Valley NPP, Arkansas NPP, including also large diameter flat bottom steel tanks. Independent reviews and reevaluation of the seismic analysis and design of the Fuel Storage Area Rack Reconfiguration and Canyon Building of the Savannah River Site Nuclear fragility. Review of seismic soil-structure interaction evaluation including embedment effects for Pantex, Rocky Flats and Hanford fragilities. Seismic soil-structure interaction evaluations for Dodewaard NPP founded on piles. Seismic PRA for Dodewaard NPP, including soil liquefaction. Determination of fragility curves for the fuel pool, drywell cavity, major equipment for Dodewaard Reactor Building. Evaluation of a fuel shipping cask behavior under an internal hydrogen deflagration. Blast evaluation of a multistory building. Seismic/wind risk analysis of the Dodewaard NPP Stack Tower. Soil-structure interaction evaluation for buried radioactive waste storage tanks. Structural evaluation and redesign of the Perry NPP Reactor Building internal platform, including the shield doors subjected to severe accident dynamic loads (safety relieve valve, LOCA, pool pressure, etc.) and earthquake motions.
                        Software Developer for Stochastic Finite Element Analyses: Developed structural analysis and reliability evaluation computer codes in conjunction with ANSYS. Developed of SUPER SASSI code in 1995 for performing seismic 3D soil-structure interaction analysis.

1991-1993       Research Assistant, Civil Engineering Department, Case Western Reserve University (CWRU), Cleveland, OH

                        Research on nonlinear stochastic dynamics and structural reliability, projects on behavior of the 680ft wide Florida Suncoast Cable Dome using wind tunnel experiments (NASA Lewis RC) and computational finite element models. Advanced courses in structural dynamics, structural reliability, finite element techniques, structural design, stochastic processes in engineering and random vibrations.

1987-1991       Assistant Professor in Structural Engineering (part-time between 1982-1987)
                        Technical University of Bucharest - Civil Engineering Institute (CEI), Romania


                        Principal Investigator for research/design projects in probabilistic/deterministic dynamics, seismic SSI and system reliability applied to seismic/wind structural design. Analysis of multiple supported structures subjected to correlated random seismic excitations probabilistic safety assessments for Cemavoda NPP and Transylvania NPP structures and equipment. Risk analyses for the new design probability-based design codes for NPP, i.e., calibration of load combination coefficients.
                        Teaching Instructor/Structural Analysis, Structural Dynamics and Seismic Design, Structural Reliability, Strength of Materials and Foundation Engineering. Consultant of the National Commission for Safety Analysis of Cernavoda NPP , Ministry of Industrial Constructions, for safety analyses for NPP Cernavoda Units 3 and 5 and for the Institute of Power Studies and Design, Nuclear Power Plant Division, for Seismic and Probabilistic Risk Analyses for NPP Structures, expertises for Cemavoda NPP Unit 1-5 and Transylvania NPP.

1986-1987       Program Manager, Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) Division
                        Central Laboratory of Ministry of Industrial Constructions, Bucharest, Romania


                        Project Leader/Principal Investigator of several projects in seismic/wind analyses and reliability assessment for NPP structures, large cooling towers and design code development. Seismic SSI effects for and multilevel subway concrete station (North Railway Station) in Bucharest. Evaluation of non-conformities by walkdown and development of design solutions to solve them for the Cernavoda NPP Unit 1 - Unit 5.

1981-1986       Structural Research/Design Engineer (PE since 1983)
                        Central Laboratory of Ministry of Industrial Constructions, Bucharest, Romania


                        Principal Investigator of seismic SSI effects on NPP structures under extreme loads, reliability analyses for calibration of load combination coefficients for the new NPP design code for steel and concrete structures in Romania, structural design of different types of concrete, steel and masonry structures.